Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
90 Iona 100.0%   15   20 - 13 11 - 7 20 - 13 11 - 7 +5.3      +8.4 14 -3.2 261 78.5 16 +3.7 116 +1.9 5
120 Canisius 0.0%   18 - 13 11 - 7 18 - 13 11 - 7 +3.2      +5.9 44 -2.7 250 67.5 172 +3.0 123 +2.2 4
128 Loyola Maryland 0.0%   21 - 11 12 - 6 21 - 11 12 - 6 +2.5      +1.7 132 +0.8 145 63.6 258 +3.8 113 +3.7 3
133 Niagara 0.0%   19 - 13 13 - 5 19 - 13 13 - 5 +2.2      +2.4 114 -0.2 177 74.6 43 +2.4 132 +5.4 1
151 Rider 0.0%   18 - 14 12 - 6 18 - 14 12 - 6 +0.8      -2.0 230 +2.8 96 67.5 170 +1.6 151 +4.0 2
154 Manhattan 0.0%   14 - 18 9 - 9 14 - 18 9 - 9 +0.7      -5.0 299 +5.7 39 60.6 301 -0.5 179 -0.4 7
155 Fairfield 0.0%   19 - 15 9 - 9 19 - 15 9 - 9 +0.6      -4.0 274 +4.6 58 59.8 312 +1.1 157 -0.3 6
228 Marist 0.0%   10 - 21 6 - 12 10 - 21 6 - 12 -3.9      -2.0 229 -1.8 222 72.8 63 -4.7 237 -4.2 8
279 St. Peter's 0.0%   9 - 21 3 - 15 9 - 21 3 - 15 -7.0      -6.1 306 -0.9 193 62.4 278 -6.4 263 -9.2 10
284 Siena 0.0%   8 - 24 4 - 14 8 - 24 4 - 14 -7.9      -4.5 286 -3.4 267 63.4 263 -6.9 275 -7.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Iona 4.0 100.0
Canisius 4.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 2.0 100.0
Niagara 1.0 100.0
Rider 2.0 100.0
Manhattan 6.0 100.0
Fairfield 6.0 100.0
Marist 8.0 100.0
St. Peter's 10.0 100.0
Siena 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Iona 11 - 7 100.0
Canisius 11 - 7 100.0
Loyola Maryland 12 - 6 100.0
Niagara 13 - 5 100.0
Rider 12 - 6 100.0
Manhattan 9 - 9 100.0
Fairfield 9 - 9 100.0
Marist 6 - 12 100.0
St. Peter's 3 - 15 100.0
Siena 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona
Canisius
Loyola Maryland
Niagara 100.0% 100.0
Rider
Manhattan
Fairfield
Marist
St. Peter's
Siena


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   1.4 34.9 63.5 0.2
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 13.8% 0.1 86.2 13.8
Sweet Sixteen 3.5% 0.0 96.5 3.5
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0